---
title: 'Staff Probabilistic Risk Assessment Engineer at Kodiak'
canonical: 'https://feeny.ai/job/staff-probabilistic-risk-assessment-engineer-kodiak-san-francisco-75hdqyfewd8g'
type: 'job'
last_seen: '2026-09-07'
---

# Staff Probabilistic Risk Assessment Engineer at Kodiak

- **Company:** Kodiak
- **Location:** San Francisco, CA
- **Compensation:** $200k–$245k
- **Posted:** 2026-03-27
- **Last confirmed live:** 2026-09-07
- **Apply:** https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/kodiak/jobs/4203236009

## Job description

Kodiak Robotics, Inc. was founded in 2018 and has become a leader in autonomous ground transportation committed to a safer and more efficient future for all. The company has developed an artificial intelligence (AI) powered technology stack purpose-built for commercial trucking and the public sector. The company delivers freight daily for its customers across the southern United States using its autonomous technology. In 2024, Kodiak became the first known company to publicly announce delivering a driverless semi-truck to a customer. Kodiak is also leveraging its commercial self-driving software to develop, test and deploy autonomous capabilities for the U.S. Department of Defense.

How do you prove an autonomous truck is safe enough to drive itself — without a driver — millions of miles a year?

That's not a rhetorical question. It's the core engineering challenge of this role, and there's no textbook answer. The target is fewer than one fatal collision per 10⁸ hours of operation. Achieving that level of safety and proving it rigorously requires building new methods, not just applying existing ones.

We are hiring for a Senior Autonomy Safety Engineer to join the team. This will be used to support our safety claims about safe perception, motion planning, and control for autonomous robots deployed in both commercial freight and defense logistics environments.

Kodiak's Autonomy Safety team owns that problem. We're a small, high-impact group operating at the frontier of autonomous vehicle safety, working across probabilistic risk assessment, simulation, autonomy performance, statistical modeling, and rare-event estimation. Every teammate owns a significant piece of the overall safety story. This role is one of those pieces.

What You'll Do:

- Find the edge cases before the road does. Identify failure modes and edge cases that expose weaknesses in our system before they appear in on-road environments. Write C++ to efficiently search high-dimensional failure spaces at scale.
- Build probabilistic risk models. Write Python to estimate autonomy-level risk using Bayesian models inside our Probabilistic Risk Assessment framework. Your outputs will inform engineering priorities across the company.
- Drive safety-informed design decisions. Provide rigorous analysis to support complex autonomy system design trade-offs that affect both safety and performance.
- Run and analyze simulations. Support development of simulation scenarios, structured track testing, on-road testing, and hardware-in-the-loop test rigs and communicate risk-informed findings to engineering and leadership.
- Pioneer new safety methods. When existing approaches fall short of our safety targets, you'll develop new ones. That's not a figure of speech, it's a regular part of this job.

What you’ll bring:

Required:

- M.S. or Ph.D. in engineering, mathematics, statistics, or a related field
- Deep applied probability and statistics, including fluency with skewed and heavy-tailed distributions — not just the Gaussian/Poisson/binomial core
- Quantitative risk and reliability modeling of complex systems: decomposing system-level risk into estimable contributions, propagating uncertainty through that decomposition, and identifying which contributors dominate the result
- Estimating the probability of events far rarer than you can directly observe or simulate — you understand why naïve sampling fails in this regime, and you've used advanced sampling or variance-reduction techniques to get usable estimates with quantified confidence
- Bayesian methods for sparse-evidence problems: combining prior engineering knowledge with limited field and simulation evidence, and defending a quantitative conclusion when the event of interest has never been observed
- Statistical model building and validation: fitting parametric models to messy operational data, and rigorously assessing fit — with particular attention to the tails, where a good average fit can still be badly wrong
- Working knowledge of tail risk metrics and how estimator uncertainty propagates into a decision threshold
- Production software development in Python (numpy/scipy/pandas) and modern C++ (C++17/20) — templates, numerical linear algebra, a compiled build system
- Numerical robustness instincts: numerical stability and conditioning, transformations between sample and physical spaces, optimization, root-finding
- Reproducibility and auditability discipline — deterministic results, regression testing against known-good outputs, traceable provenance for every input assumption, and a strong preference for failing loudly over failing silently. Our outputs gate driverless deployment decisions and must regenerate to identical numbers
- Strong written and verbal communication — you'll explain complex risk tradeoffs to engineers, leads, and executives, and author formal safety-case deliverables
- Experience producing and reviewing analysis, code, and artifacts authored by generative AI tools.

Valued:

- Modeling time-correlated or statistically dependent stochastic processes, and reasoning about dependence structure rather than assuming independence
- Working in high-dimensional stochastic spaces, including reducing dimensionality while preserving the behavior that matters
- Systematically searching for failure conditions in cyber-physical systems — adversarial search, stress testing, or formal-methods-adjacent approaches
- Building or validating simulation environments; simulation-to-real validation
- Distributed compute at scale: AWS, infrastructure-as-code (Terraform), and large-scale result storage and query (Elasticsearch or comparable)
- GPU-accelerated numerical computing (CUDA and associated libraries)
- Hazard analysis and safety-critical standards: ISO 26262, ISO 21448 (SOTIF), UL 4600, IEC 61508, ARP4754A/ARP4761; FMEA/FMECA; formal risk-acceptance frameworks; PRA practice from nuclear, aerospace, or process industries
- Vehicle dynamics, collision kinematics, or crash severity modeling
- AV stack fluency: sensor fusion and tracking, perception error characterization, motion planning, control
- LaTeX for technical deliverables; data visualization

What we offer:

- Competitive compensation package including equity and annual bonuses
- Excellent Medical, Dental, and Vision plans through Kaiser Permanente, Cigna, and  MetLife (including a medical plan with infertility benefits)
- MetLife Legal Services, Identity & Fraud Protection, Hospital Indemnity Insurance, Accident Insurance, & Critical Illness Insurance
- Flexible PTO, 10 paid holidays, and generous parental leave policies
- Our office is centrally located in Mountain View, CA
- Office perks: dog-friendly, free catered lunch, a fully stocked kitchen, and free EV charging
- Long Term Disability, Short Term Disability, Life Insurance
- Wellbeing Benefits - Headspace through Cigna, Calm through Kaiser, One Medical, Gympass, Spring Health through Cigna, Rula (mental health navigation)
- Fidelity 401(k)
- Commuter, FSA, Dependent Care FSA, HSA
- Various incentive programs (referral bonuses, patent bonuses, etc.)

The pay range listed below reflects the base salary in our SF/Silicon Valley location, across several internal levels. Actual starting pay will be based on job-related factors including: work location, experience, relevant training, education, skill level and performance during interview. Total compensation at Kodiak includes base pay, equity, bonus and a competitive benefits package

California Pay Range $200,000—$245,000 USD

At Kodiak, we strive to build a diverse community working towards our common company goals in a safe and collaborative environment where harassment of any kind is strictly prohibited. Kodiak is committed to equal opportunity employment regardless of race, ethnicity, religion, gender identity, sexual orientation, age, disability, or veteran status, or any other basis protected by applicable law.

In alignment with its business operations, Kodiak adheres to all relevant statutes, regulations, and administrative prerequisites. Accordingly, roles that carry more sensitive requirements may be limited to candidates that can satisfy additional scrutiny and eligibility for such positions may hinge on verification of a candidate’s residence, U.S. person status, and/or citizenship status. Should the position require, and Kodiak determines that a candidate’s residence, U.S. person status, and/or citizenship status necessitate an export license, bar the candidate from the position, or otherwise fall under national security-related restrictions, Kodiak will consider the candidate for alternative positions unaffected by such restrictions, under terms and conditions set forth at Kodiak’s sole discretion, or, as an alternative, opt not to proceed with the candidate’s application. If applicable, Kodiak may provide visa sponsorship for eligible candidates.

We use a third-party AI tool (Endorsed) to assist in the initial screening of applications. As part of the evaluation process, we provide Endorsed with job requirements and candidate-submitted applications. Final hiring decisions are made by our human recruitment team, and no automated system makes the ultimate decision regarding hiring. Certain features of the platform may qualify it as an Automated Employment Decision Tool (AEDT) under applicable regulations. We began using Endorsed on January 1, 2026. You can review the independent bias audit report covering our use of Endorsed [here](https://endorsed.com/local-law-144). By submitting your application, you acknowledge that your application may be processed by AI systems as part of the screening and selection process. If you have any questions or would like to request a separate review of your application, please contact careers@kodiak.ai with "Separate Review Request" in the email subject line.

## About Kodiak

## Company Overview
- **One-liner**: Kodiak develops AI-powered autonomous ground mobility solutions, primarily for long-haul trucking and defense applications, with the goal of building the world’s safest driver.
- **Entity Type**: Private (Founded in 2018; funding stage not explicitly disclosed but has raised significant capital from top-tier investors)
- **Headquarters**: Mountain View, California, United States
- **Founded**: April 2018
- **Founders**: Don Burnette (CEO)

## Core Business
- **Primary industry/industries**: Autonomous Vehicles (AV), AI, Trucking & Logistics, Defense & National Security, Industrial Automation
- **Target customers**: B2B – Commercial trucking fleets, logistics companies, and the U.S. Department of Defense (for autonomous ground systems)
- **Mission or purpose statement**: To become the trusted world leader in autonomous ground transportation, committed to a safer and more efficient future for all through the commercialization of driverless trucking at scale.

## Products & Services
- **[The Kodiak Driver]**: A purpose-built, AI-powered autonomous driving system (hardware and software) that enables driverless movement of trucks and other vehicles. It combines AI perception, modular hardware, and offboard services into a single, integrated platform designed for safety, efficiency, and reliability in long-haul trucking.
- **[Kodiak Defense Solutions]**: An adaptation of the Kodiak Driver for national security applications, providing autonomous capabilities for military ground vehicles.
- **[Industrial Autonomy Solutions]**: Solutions tailored for heavy industry and harsh environments, focusing on operational efficiency and safety.

## Market Standing
- **Valuation/Market Cap**: Not publicly disclosed.
- **Key Metric**: Has safely delivered over 7,000 commercial loads and driven over 2.6 million autonomous miles. In 2024, became the first company to publicly announce delivering a driverless semi-truck to a customer.
- **Notable Investors/Partners**: Uber (Talent source and acquisition of co-founder's previous startup Ottomotto); key partners include the U.S. Department of Defense and members of its Trucking Industry Advisory Council. Alumni have come from Waymo, Cruise, Nuro, and Uber.
- **Growth Signals**: Actively expanding from trucking into defense and industrial sectors. Aggressive hiring with 59 active job postings (as of mid-2026) and a 28.3% year-over-year increase in job postings. They are on the critical path to launching driverless operations on public highways.

## Competitive Advantages
- **Proven Track Record**: First to publicly deliver a driverless semi-truck to a customer and has a strong safety record with 2.6 million autonomous miles and 7,000+ loads delivered.
- **Purpose-Built Technology**: The Kodiak Driver is specifically designed for the unique challenges of long-haul trucking (e.g., highway driving, fuel efficiency, safety) rather than adapted from robotaxi technology.
- **Dual-Use Technology**: Leveraging its commercial self-driving software for defense applications (U.S. Department of Defense), creating a unique revenue stream and technological validation.
- **Strong Talent Pipeline**: Deep domain expertise with team members from top AV companies like Waymo, Cruise, Nuro, and Uber.

## Strategic Focus
- **Driverless Highway Launch**: The primary near-term goal is to launch driverless operations on public highways by the end of 2026 (as stated in job postings). This is the company's north star.
- **Expanding Operational Design Domain (ODD)**: After the initial driverless launch, the focus will be on expanding the conditions and geographies in which the Kodiak Driver can operate.
- **Diversification into Defense**: A significant strategic priority is deploying autonomous technology for national security, which provides a stable, non-commercial revenue stream and validates the technology's robustness.
- **Commercialization at Scale**: Moving from pilot programs and customer deliveries to full commercial deployment with major trucking fleets.

## Why Work Here
- **High-Impact Mission**: Work on technology that aims to save lives (reducing truck crashes caused by human error), improve sustainability, and transform the freight and defense industries.
- **Culture of Safety and Innovation**: The company is deeply committed to safety (ISO 26262, ISO 21448) but also values agility, efficiency, and "principled debate." They seek the truth, even when inconvenient.
- **Autonomy and Ownership**: Interns and engineers are given independence to design solutions and own their projects, working "shoulder-to-shoulder with the best."
- **Hybrid Work Environment**: Based in Mountain View, CA with a "hybrid work environment" and a newly renovated, dog-friendly office with free EV charging, catered lunch, and a fully stocked kitchen.
- **Competitive Compensation & Benefits**: Includes competitive base pay, equity, annual bonuses, flexible PTO, 401k, excellent medical/dental/vision, infertility benefits, and generous parental leave.
- **Talent Density**: Work alongside veterans from Waymo, Cruise, Nuro, Uber, and Google’s self-driving car project.

## Sources
1. [Kodiak AI Company Page](https://kodiak.ai/company)
2. [Kodiak AI Homepage](https://kodiak.ai/)
3. [Kodiak AI Careers Page](https://kodiak.ai/careers)
4. [LinkedIn - Kodiak](https://www.linkedin.com/company/kodiakai)
5. [Greenhouse - Kodiak Jobs](https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/kodiak/jobs/4194480009)

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